tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Knoxville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:45 MIA → 09:38 PHL
    AA 2129 · American · 2h 53m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:57 PHL → 13:10 TYS
    AA 5951 · American, flown by Piedmont · 2h 13m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 25mMIA 06:45 to TYS 13:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.