tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 18:40 MKE → 21:17 DFW
    AA 2136 · American · 2h 37m · 40% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 DFW → 00:57 SEA +1 day
    AA 1487 · American · 4h 16m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip8h 17mMKE 18:40 to SEA 00:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.