tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 18%

  1. 18:40 MKE → 21:17 DFW
    AA 2136 · American · 2h 37m · 40% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DFW → 23:28 PHX
    AA 2319 · American · 2h 31m · 37% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip6h 50mMKE 18:40 to PHX 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.