tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Denver via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 44%

  1. 12:42 MRY → 18:25 DFW
    AA 2140 · American · 3h 43m · 71% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 DFW → 21:32 DEN
    AA 577 · American · 2h 03m · 50% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 50mMRY 12:42 to DEN 21:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.