tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Charlotte via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 19%

  1. 17:11 MSN → 19:46 DFW
    AA 2141 · American · 2h 35m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:14 DFW → 00:53 CLT +1 day
    AA 2409 · American · 2h 39m · 33% on time, 7.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (7.9% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip6h 42mMSN 17:11 to CLT 00:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.