tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Detroit via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 11:23 MSN → 13:45 DFW
    AA 2142 · American · 2h 22m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:47 DFW → 18:29 DTW
    AA 1786 · American · 2h 42m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 06mMSN 11:23 to DTW 18:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.