tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 15:45 MCO → 17:47 DFW
    AA 2143 · American · 3h 02m · 46% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:36 DFW → 19:48 TUL
    AA 3830 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 12m · 72% on time, 8.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (8.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 03mMCO 15:45 to TUL 19:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.