tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:15 MSO → 18:46 DFW
    AA 2144 · American · 3h 30m · 62% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 DFW → 23:57 MSP
    AA 3149 · American · 2h 27m · 44% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip8h 42mMSO 14:15 to MSP 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.