tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Charlotte via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:11 MSP → 17:50 DFW
    AA 2145 · American · 2h 39m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:54 DFW → 22:38 CLT
    AA 1229 · American · 2h 44m · 53% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 27mMSP 15:11 to CLT 22:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.