tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:11 MSP → 17:50 DFW
    AA 2145 · American · 2h 39m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 DFW → 23:59 TPA
    AA 2256 · American · 2h 29m · 37% on time, 8.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip7h 48mMSP 15:11 to TPA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.