tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Richmond via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:11 MSP → 17:50 DFW
    AA 2145 · American · 2h 39m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 DFW → 22:57 RIC
    AA 3037 · American · 3h 02m · 59% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 46mMSP 15:11 to RIC 22:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.