tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Anchorage via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:11 MSP → 17:50 DFW
    AA 2145 · American · 2h 39m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 DFW → 22:39 ANC
    AA 395 · American · 6h 59m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip10h 28mMSP 15:11 to ANC 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.