tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 94%

  1. 14:47 MSP → 16:10 PHX
    AA 2146 · American · 3h 23m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:54 PHX → 20:31 LAX
    UA 4722 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip7h 44mMSP 14:47 to LAX 20:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.