Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Minneapolis → Seattle via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 18%
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19:15 MSP → 21:50 DFWAA 2148 · American · 2h 35m · 56% on time, 5.9% cancelled
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51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:41 DFW → 00:57 SEA +1 dayAA 1487 · American · 4h 16m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled
Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip7h 42mMSP 19:15 to SEA 00:57, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.