Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Diego via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 19:15 MSP → 21:50 DFW
    AA 2148 · American · 2h 35m · 56% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 DFW → 23:59 SAN
    AA 2568 · American · 3h 04m · 56% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 44mMSP 19:15 to SAN 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.