tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:02 MSP → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2150 · American · 2h 38m · 86% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:56 DFW → 13:59 DCA
    AA 1624 · American · 3h 02m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 56mMSP 06:02 to DCA 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.