tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:02 MSP → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2150 · American · 2h 38m · 86% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 43m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:23 DFW → 13:31 SNA
    AA 2684 · American · 3h 08m · 80% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 178 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 43m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 29mMSP 06:02 to SNA 13:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.