tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 06:02 MSP → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2150 · American · 2h 38m · 86% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:31 DFW → 13:29 MIA
    AA 2762 · American · 2h 58m · 70% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 27mMSP 06:02 to MIA 13:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.