tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Louisville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:02 MSP → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2150 · American · 2h 38m · 86% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:32 DFW → 12:41 SDF
    AA 397 · American · 2h 09m · 74% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 39mMSP 06:02 to SDF 12:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.