tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:02 MSP → 08:40 DFW
    AA 2150 · American · 2h 38m · 86% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:36 DFW → 13:57 XNA
    AA 3847 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 21m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 55mMSP 06:02 to XNA 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.