tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Jacksonville via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:47 MSP → 21:29 CLT
    AA 2151 · American · 2h 42m · 62% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:33 CLT → 23:59 JAX
    AA 2713 · American · 1h 26m · 70% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 12mMSP 17:47 to JAX 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.