tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Omaha via Charlotte: arrives on time 54%

  1. 17:47 MSP → 21:29 CLT
    AA 2151 · American · 2h 42m · 62% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 CLT → 00:19 OMA +1 day
    AA 961 · American · 2h 38m · 78% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 32mMSP 17:47 to OMA 00:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.