tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:47 MSP → 21:29 CLT
    AA 2151 · American · 2h 42m · 62% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 CLT → 23:49 TYS
    AA 5511 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 12m · 44% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip5h 03mMSP 17:47 to TYS 23:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.