tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Asheville via Charlotte: arrives on time 59%

  1. 17:47 MSP → 21:29 CLT
    AA 2151 · American · 2h 42m · 62% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 CLT → 00:15 AVL +1 day
    AA 5588 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 00m · 72% on time, 7.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (7.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 28mMSP 17:47 to AVL 00:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.