tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 10:34 MSP → 13:05 DFW
    AA 2152 · American · 2h 31m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:54 DFW → 18:28 LGA
    AA 1535 · American · 3h 34m · 58% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 54mMSP 10:34 to LGA 18:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.