tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Rapid City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:34 MSP → 13:05 DFW
    AA 2152 · American · 2h 31m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:58 DFW → 16:20 RAP
    AA 3762 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 22m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 46mMSP 10:34 to RAP 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.