tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Asheville via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 13:39 MSP → 17:23 CLT
    AA 2153 · American · 2h 44m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 CLT → 19:34 AVL
    AA 5792 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 09m · 41% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 55mMSP 13:39 to AVL 19:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.