tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Norfolk via Charlotte: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:56 MSP → 14:36 CLT
    AA 2154 · American · 2h 40m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:18 CLT → 19:40 ORF
    AA 2913 · American · 1h 22m · 53% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 177 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip7h 44mMSP 10:56 to ORF 19:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.