tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 79%

  1. 10:56 MSP → 14:36 CLT
    AA 2154 · American · 2h 40m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 CLT → 19:36 XNA
    AA 4087 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 40mMSP 10:56 to XNA 19:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.