Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Madison via Newark: arrives on time 78%

  1. 22:14 PHX → 06:00 EWR
    AA 2156 · American · 4h 46m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Newark (EWR) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:38 EWR → 10:09 MSN +1 day
    UA 3608 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 31m · 85% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 55mPHX 22:14 to MSN 10:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.