tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Cleveland via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 14:35 PHL
    AA 2161 · American · 5h 35m · 93% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 PHL → 19:06 CLE
    AA 5862 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 51m · 81% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 06mSFO 06:00 to CLE 19:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.