tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Indianapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 14:35 PHL
    AA 2161 · American · 5h 35m · 93% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:19 PHL → 20:45 IND
    AA 4637 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 26m · 76% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 11h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip11h 45mSFO 06:00 to IND 20:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.