tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 32%

  1. 13:50 MSY → 16:58 CLT
    AA 2170 · American · 2h 08m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 CLT → 20:01 MCO
    AA 612 · American · 1h 56m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 11mMSY 13:50 to MCO 20:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.