tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 54%

  1. 07:16 SNA → 15:15 CLT
    AA 2177 · American · 4h 59m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 CLT → 20:01 MCO
    AA 612 · American · 1h 56m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip9h 45mSNA 07:16 to MCO 20:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.