tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Ontario via Charlotte: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:50 DCA → 19:37 CLT
    AA 2182 · American · 1h 47m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:43 CLT → 22:34 ONT
    AA 3036 · American · 4h 51m · 62% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 44mDCA 17:50 to ONT 22:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.