tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Greenville via Charlotte: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:50 DCA → 19:37 CLT
    AA 2182 · American · 1h 47m · 71% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 CLT → 21:30 GSP
    AA 5524 · American, flown by PSA · 55m · 55% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip3h 40mDCA 17:50 to GSP 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.