tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:13 VPS → 10:00 CLT
    AA 2185 · American · 1h 47m · 88% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:52 CLT → 16:00 JFK
    DL 5049 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 10m · 74% on time, 9.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (9.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 49mVPS 07:13 to JFK 16:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.