tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 64%

  1. 07:13 VPS → 10:00 CLT
    AA 2185 · American · 1h 47m · 88% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 CLT → 13:47 JFK
    AA 2812 · American · 2h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 34mVPS 07:13 to JFK 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.