tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:21 MIA → 08:35 CLT
    AA 2187 · American · 2h 14m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:37 CLT → 12:56 PHX
    AA 588 · American · 4h 19m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 137 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 35mMIA 06:21 to PHX 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.