tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Houston via New Orleans: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:30 PHX → 17:34 MSY
    AA 2191 · American · 3h 04m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:35 MSY → 21:50 HOU
    WN 4662 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 20mPHX 12:30 to HOU 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.