tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → New York via New Orleans: arrives on time 10%

  1. 15:39 DFW → 17:07 MSY
    AA 2194 · American · 1h 28m · 39% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in New Orleans (MSY) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:56 MSY → 21:58 LGA
    AA 2165 · American · 3h 02m · 43% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection24%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 76% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (24%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 19mDFW 15:39 to LGA 21:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.