tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → San Antonio via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 15%

  1. 18:01 MSY → 19:55 DFW
    AA 2194 · American · 1h 54m · 40% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:48 DFW → 22:00 SAT
    AA 1406 · American · 1h 12m · 59% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 59mMSY 18:01 to SAT 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.