tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 19%

  1. 18:01 MSY → 19:55 DFW
    AA 2194 · American · 1h 54m · 40% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 DFW → 21:47 LAS
    AA 1797 · American · 2h 51m · 55% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 44mMSY 18:01 to LAS 21:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.