Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New Orleans → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 16%
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17:19 MSY → 20:16 ORDAA 2198 · American · 3h 02m · 43% on time, 5.6% cancelled
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51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:07 ORD → 23:51 IAHAA 3144 · American · 2h 44m · 53% on time, 5.5% cancelled
Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 32mMSY 17:19 to IAH 23:51, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.