Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New Orleans → Austin via Chicago: arrives on time 17%
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17:19 MSY → 20:16 ORDAA 2198 · American · 3h 02m · 43% on time, 5.6% cancelled
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1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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21:16 ORD → 23:59 AUSAA 935 · American · 2h 43m · 45% on time, 6.1% cancelled
Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 40mMSY 17:19 to AUS 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.