tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Orlando via Miami: arrives on time 19%

  1. 18:57 MSY → 21:59 MIA
    AA 2201 · American · 2h 03m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:49 MIA → 23:59 MCO
    AA 1813 · American · 1h 10m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 02mMSY 18:57 to MCO 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.