tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 90%

  1. 22:00 PHX → 05:22 MIA
    AA 2205 · American · 4h 22m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:02 MIA → 10:38 DCA +1 day
    AA 1299 · American · 2h 36m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 38mPHX 22:00 to DCA 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.