tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 38%

  1. 16:56 ATL → 18:44 LAX
    AA 2221 · American · 4h 47m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:32 LAX → 21:02 PHX
    AA 1362 · American · 1h 30m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 06mATL 16:56 to PHX 21:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.