tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 11:00 ORD → 13:33 DFW
    AA 2222 · American · 2h 33m · 71% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:22 DFW → 15:44 HOU
    AA 5002 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 45mORD 11:00 to HOU 15:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.