tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Omaha → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 46%

  1. 18:29 OMA → 19:11 PHX
    AA 2227 · American · 2h 42m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 PHX → 21:34 SAN
    AA 559 · American · 1h 14m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Omaha). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 05mOMA 18:29 to SAN 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.